Quarterly Forecast

Total pipeline value with each deal multiplied by its stage-based close probability — the canonical probabilistic forecast number. More forecasting-useful than raw pipeline value because it accounts for the conversion-likelihood mix across stages (early-stage deals weighted ~10–25%, mid-stage ~40–60%, late-stage ~70–90%). Common pitfall: using globally-flat probabilities (e.g. always 50%) instead of stage-specific calibrated ones — a reliable weighted forecast requires the stage probabilities to be back-tested against actual close rates from prior periods.

Sum of the dollar value of all active deals currently in the sales pipeline — unweighted (raw deal-value sum, not probability-weighted). Boards read this as the top-of-funnel sufficiency check: if pipeline coverage (pipeline value / forecast) drops below the historic conversion-rate-implied threshold, the forecast is at risk. Common pitfall: confusing pipeline value with weighted forecast — the unweighted number always exceeds the weighted, often by 3–5× depending on the stage mix. Always report both and the implied conversion ratio.

Total dollar value of all opportunities closed-won during the period — the period's realized bookings from the pipeline motion. Reconciles to (sales.new_business + sales.expansion) when split by deal type. Common pitfall: reporting TCV (total contract value) here when the rest of the dashboard uses ACV — pick one and apply it consistently across closed_won_value, weighted_forecast, and pipeline_value, or the dashboard math stops reconciling.

Percentage of closed opportunities that resulted in closed-won (vs closed-lost) during the period. The single best read on bottom-of-funnel execution and the most direct input to pipeline-coverage math (required coverage = 1 / win rate). Common pitfall: computing win rate without disqualifying "no decision" outcomes inflates losses and depresses the rate artificially; the SaaS norm is to either bucket no-decisions separately or track a two-rate view (raw win rate vs ICP-fit win rate excluding no-decisions). Stage-segment cuts (SMB vs Enterprise) usually differ 2×–4× and should be reported separately when volume permits.

Container handle for the addable per-quarter forecast rows — each row tracks quarter, totalPipelineValue, weightedPipelineValue, expectedCloses (committed forecast), and dealCount. Rendered via the AddableQuarterlyForecastTable widget. Provides the multi-quarter forward visibility view the board reviews to validate the next 2–4 quarters of revenue, not just the current quarter. Common pitfall: filling in only the current quarter and treating future quarters as "we'll figure it out" — multi-quarter forecasting forces honest top-of-funnel planning for the periods beyond the immediate one.